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Website Streaming Film Online Gratis Anti Blokir – Nonton film online gratis bisa jadi kegiatan yang menyenangkan selama Sobat Pintar belum bisa sepenuhnya beraktivitas di luar rumah. Oleh karena bioskop belum bisa dibuka akibat pandemi, maka situs nonton film gratis yang bisa diakses secara online banyak menjadi pilihan masyarakat untuk mendapatkan hiburan dengan harga terjangkau.
 
Selain itu, dengan adanya situs streaming film gratis, Sobat Pintar bisa mengakses berbagai film dan serial TV yang dirilis di tahun tertentu. Untuk menikmati streaming film secara gratis, Sobat Pintar bisa mengaksesnya dari berbagai situs yang tersedia.
 
Sayangnya, tidak semua situs tersebut menyediakan subtitle Bahasa Indonesia untuk Sobat Pintar. Nonton Film Online Gratis, streaming film, nonton film subtitle Indonesia dalam 3 rekomendasi website berikut ini. Baca untuk info lengkapnya.
 
Jadi, kali ini Kredit Pintar akan memberikan rekomendasi situs nonton film online gratis yang menyediakan subtitle Bahasa Indonesia. Hindari penipuan dengan informasi berikut: 3 Alasan Kredit Pintar Jadi Fintech P2P Lending Aman
 
Kumpulan Daftar Situs Nonton Film Online Gratis
 
Sobat Pintar bisa menikmati streaming film gratis yang menyediakan subtitle Bahasa Indonesia dari situs berikut:
 
1. Nonton film gratis di LK21
 
LK21 memberikan layanan streaming film gratis untuk para pengunjungnya. Situs ini biasanya mengandung banyak area jebakan yang membawa pengunjungnya ke berbagai iklan yang terpasang dalam situs tersebut tanpa kita sadari.
 
Artinya, dengan mengakses situs LK21, pengunjung perlu berhati-hati akan munculnya berbagai iklan yang tidak diinginkan. Situs LK21 menyediakan berbagai film, anime, dan serial TV populer dari berbagai negara.
 
Selain itu, apabila Sobat Pintar juga bisa berbagai film dan serial TV yang sudah lama dirilis, bahkan hingga bertahun-tahun lalu. Berbagai pilihan resolusi video juga tersedia agar Sobat Pintar bisa menonton film maupun serial kesukaan dengan nyaman.
 
2. Kunjungi Indoxxi Untuk Nonton Film Gratis
 
Indoxxi adalah salah satu pelopor situs nonton film subtitle Indonesia yang bisa diakses secara gratis. Dengan mengakses Indoxxi, Sobat Pintar bisa menikmati streaming film dan serial TV dengan berbagai judul.
 
Selain itu, Indoxxi juga menampilkan rating dari setiap film maupun serial TV yang ditampilkan di layar. Sama dengan LK21, situs ini juga memiliki berbagai area klik yang tak terduga dan bisa membawa pengunjungnya ke situs lain secara tidak sengaja.
 
3. Nonton Film Online di Layarkaca21
 
Layarkaca21 adalah situs yang serupa dengan LK21 dan Indoxxi. Dengan mengakses LayarKaca21, Sobat Pintar bisa mencari film kesukaan yang ingin ditonton melalui search bar, genre, maupun tahun rilis film.
 
Saat ini Sobat Pintar hanya bisa menikmati berbagai film tersebut melalui layanan streaming, sehingga sebelum mengaksesnya, pastikan bahwa browser dan koneksi internet yang digunakan mampu mendukung aktivitas streaming film online.
 
Tips Nonton Film Online Gratis Dengan Nyaman
 
Ketiga situs di atas menyediakan layanan nonton film subtitle Indonesia secara gratis, namun tidak sedikit juga Sobat Pintar yang mengeluhkan bahwa situs-situs tersebut memberikan pengalaman streaming film yang dirasa kurang mumpuni. Agar nonton film online makin nyaman, Sobat Pintar bisa ikuti 3 tips berikut ini.
 
1. Cari tahu info perubahan website
 
Meskipun Indoxxi, BO Pragmatic Layar Kaca 21, dan LK21 merupakan situs gratis untuk nonton film subtitle Indonesia namun ketiga situs tersebut bersifat ilegal. Sejak tahun lalu, Kemkominfo aktif menutup berbagai situs ilegal termasuk situs yang menyediakan layanan streaming film gratis.
 
Di sisi lain, tetap saja pengembang situs berupaya untuk menyajikan hiburan gratis bagi masyarakat yang tidak bisa mengakses situs streaming resmi yang berbayar dengan cara mengganti alamat situs secara berkala. Untuk itu, agar tetap bisa menikmati nonton film dengan gratis, Sobat Pintar perlu mencari tahu informasi perubahan website.
 
2. Pahami bahwa tidak semua film punya resolusi HD
 
Telah dibahas dalam paragraf sebelumnya bahwa ketiga situs di atas menyediakan film dari berbagai negara, lintas genre dan zaman.
 
Maka dari itu, agar tidak merasa kecewa, akan lebih baik apabila Sobat Pintar memahami bahwa tidak semua film tersedia dalam kualitas HD karena tahun rilis yang cukup lama dan juga tidak ada sumber film dengan kualitas HD yang tersedia. Namun, pada umumnya ketiga situs tersebut menyediakan resolusi HD untuk berbagai film dan serial TV yang populer.
 
3. Pastikan browser dan koneksi internet telah mendukung aktivitas streaming
 
Aktivitas menonton film secara online, tentu saja membutuhkan bandwidth internet yang cukup besar, terlebih jika film tersedia dalam kualitas terbaik. Untuk itu, persiapkan koneksi internet serta web browser yang mumpuni apabila Sobat Pintar memutuskan untuk streaming film melalui ketiga situs tersebut.
 
Itulah 3 rekomendasi situs nonton film online gratis dengan subtitle Bahasa Indonesia. Film mana yang akan ditonton akhir pekan ini, Sobat Pintar?

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Teknik-Teknik Memasak Basah Yang Mungkin Kamu Belum Mengetahuinya

Biasanya yang saya mengerti masak di rumah itu cuma sekadar menggoreng, menumis, atau merebus. Apakah kalian juga begitu? Tapi ternyata teknik-teknik dalam memasak itu mempunyai banyak jenis dan fungsinya masing-masing. Karena teknik dan prosesnya berbeda, tentu hasil masakannya pun menciptakan keunikan rasa dan tampilan masing-masing. Namun, beberapa teknik memasak akan kita bahas barangkali kamu belum mengetahuinya.

Sebagian orang yang belum begitu mengenali teknik basic ini bisa saja dapat banyak yang berargumen. Sedikit penjelasan perihal pemanfaatan teknik dasar. Pada dasarnya teknik basic memasak digunakan sebagai pedoman untuk memaksimalkan hasil masakan sehingga menghasilkan rasa yang lezat dan tentu berkualitas. Terkadang banyak orang yang memasak dengan teledor tanpa menggunakan teknik yang benar dan menyebabkan makanan tersebut menjadi berantakan. Ada banyak teknik yang mampu kamu manfaatkan untuk mengoptimalkan saat memasak, bagi yang suka memasak. Untuk kamu yang jarang memasak juga setidaknya menjadi wawasan untuk kalian dalam dunia masak. Pada dasarnya memasak adalah proses pemberian suhu panas melalui alat atau sarana tertentu kepada bahan makanan agar bahan makanan tersebut mampu dicerna, aman, dan juga lezat tentunya.

Boiling

Teknik ini bisa juga disebut dengan teknik merebus, yaitu teknik memasak yang menggunakan air sebagai sarananya. Air tersebut harus dalam volume yang banyak atau simpel nya sampai air tersebut merendam bahan makanan. Dipergunakan untuk merebus makanan hingga mencapai suhu 100°C.

Poaching

Teknik ini hampir mirip dengan boiling namun yang berbedanya adalah jumlah volume air yang menutupi bahan makanan yang dan dimasak menggunakan api kecil (simmer) sehingga suhu air mencapai kisaran 92ºC sampai 96ºC. Biasanya teknik ini dilakukan untuk poaching telur dan terciptalah Poach Egg.

Teknik Simmering

Pada teknik ini tetap memanfaatkan air, bahan makanan akan direbus di dalam air yang didihkan sampai 100ºC dengan menggunakan api kecil dan biarkan sampai dipermukaan makanan keluar gelembung-gelembung. Proses ini biasanya membutuhkan waktu yang cukup lama fungsinya adalah juicy / kaldu yang terdapat pada bahan makanan tersebut keluar sehingga menciptakan aroma yang lezat dan juga agar tekstur makanan tersebut sangat empuk sehingga mudah dicerna perut. Biasanya proses ini digunakan untuk mengambil kaldunya saja contohnya seperti kaldu soto, rawon, kaldu ayam dll.

Stewing

Stewing ini lebih dikenal bersama dengan penyetupan, di mana makanan yang sudah dipotong kecil-kecil terutama sudah terlebih dahulu dimasak menggunakan sedikit cairan.

Braising

Teknik ini nyaris serupa bersama dengan teknik stewing hanya saja teknik ini makanan dapat direndam dahulu dan di campur bumbu baru dimasak.


Steaming

Teknik steaming atau pengukusan di mana makanan dapat dimasak memanfaatkan uap air yang mendidih.


Teknik Bain Marie

Teknik terakhir ini adalah dengan cara menggunakan 2 panci dengan ukuran yang berbeda, panci pertama yang lebih besar di isikan bersama dengan air mendidih. Sedangkan panci ke dua yang lebih kecil di isikan bersama dengan bahan makanan yang ingin diolah lantas di masukkan kedalam panci besar.


Deep frying

Merupakan metode memasak bahan makanan bersama dengan memanfaatkan minyak yang banyak, agar bahan makanan selanjutnya terlalu terendam minyak. Deep frying diklasifikasikan ke dalam metode memasak kering, sebab tidak tersedia air yang digunakan dalam proses memasak tersebut. Metode ini digunakan untuk beroleh hasil penggorengan yang optimal.


Frying

Metode memasak makanan dalam minyak atau lemak. Secara kimiawi, minyak dan lemak adalah sama, perbedaannya terletak terhadap titik leleh. Suhu penggorengan yang baik yaitu 1750C-1900C terkait terhadap kekentalan dan style makanan yang digoreng.


Sauteing

Merupakan metode memasak makanan bersama dengan memanfaatkan sedikit minyak atau lemak. Jenis minyak atau lemak yang mampu digunakan dalam proses sauteing yaitu minyak zaitun, margarin, dsb.


Stir frying

Metode menggoreng cepat terhadap temperatur yang terlalu tinggi. Menggunakan sedikit minyak bersama dengan alat wajan yang agak dalam. Istilah stir perlihatkan bahwa makanan wajib distir (digerakkan atau dibolak-balik) berkelanjutan untuk menghambat makanan itu gosong.


Shallow frying

Shallow frying merupakan metode memasak makanan dalam jumlah sedikit, bersama dengan lemak atau minyak yang dipanaskan terutama dahulu dalam pan dangkal (shallow pan) atau ceper. Jumlah lemak yang digunakan untuk menggoreng cuma sedikit yaitu mampu merendam kira-kira 1/3 bagian makanan yang digoreng.


Pan frying

Termasuk teknik memasak bersama dengan memanfaatkan minyak goreng, namun minyak yang digunakan lebih sedikit daripada deep frying. Istilah ini lebih tepat diterapkan terhadap teknik menggoreng yang memanfaatkan pan (pan penggoreng). Metode ini memanfaatkan penghantar panas sedang, bertujuan untuk mempertahankan kelembaban makanan.

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Yasamdanismanim Magazine has compiled a list based on Google search results that is flying around the Internet, sporting some surprises – Justin Bieber comes in at No. 7 — and some givens — Lady Gaga tops the list at No. 1.


Here are the top 10:

  • 1. Lady Gaga
  • 2. Kesha
  • 3. Madonna
  • 4. Beyonce
  • 5. Rihanna
  • 6. Britney Spears
  • 7. Justin Bieber
  • 8. Miley Cyrus
  • 9. Paris Hilton
  • 10. Avril Lavigne

Washington’s famous women made a showing as well: former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin is No. 18, first lady Michelle Obama No. 21 and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton No. 32.

Poor Justin Bieber. This is the second time in a week that the teen heartthrob and perpetual trending topic on Twitter has sent the Internet into a tizzy. He has also been accused of not knowing the meaning of the word “German.”

An interview on a New Zealand TV show has been making the rounds on the web, showing Bieber floundering when the host asked him if “Bieber” means “basketball” in German. He at first acted perplexed and finally said, “We don’t use that word in Slot Online.”


It seems likely that the host’s thick Kiwi accent was the culprit here, because Bieber does appear to be familiar with German in this Bravo interview.

Back to the web’s favorite women. Who was left off that you think should have made it? Who were the biggest surprises? Here is the full list:

  • 50. Eva Longoria
  • 49. Scarlett Johansson
  • 48. Carmen Electra
  • 47. Tina Fey
  • 46. Adriana Lima
  • 45. Lily Allen
  • 44. Sarah Jessica Parker
  • 43. Kelly Clarkson
  • 42. Carrie Underwood
  • 41. Amy Winehouse
  • 40. Vanessa Hudgens
  • 39. Katie Price
  • 38. Ashley Tisdale
  • 37. Hilary Duff
  • 36. Marilyn Monroe
  • 35. Heidi Montag
  • 34. Demi Moore
  • 33. Jennifer Aniston
  • 32. Hillary Clinton
  • 31. Ciara
  • 30. Kristen Stewart
  • 29. Betty White
  • 28. Pamela Anderson
  • 27. Fergie
  • 26. Jessica Alba
  • 25. Christina Aguilera
  • 24. Sandra Bullock
  • 23. Kim Kardashian
  • 22. Katy Perry
  • 21. Michelle Obama
  • 20. Lindsay Lohan
  • 19. Jessica Simpson
  • 18. Sarah Palin
  • 17. Mariah Carey
  • 16. Jennifer Lopez
  • 15. Megan Fox
  • 14. Oprah
  • 13. Angelina Jolie
  • 12. Taylor Swift
  • 11. Shakira
  • 10. Avril Lavigne
  • 9. Paris Hilton
  • 8. Miley Cyrus
  • 7. Justin Bieber
  • 6. Britney Spears
  • 5. Rihanna
  • 4. Beyonce
  • 3. Madonna
  • 2. Kesha
  • 1. Lady GaGa
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Countdown to World War III, Is This Really Happened?

Countdown to World War III, Is This Really Happened? – When the Department of Defense released its annual report on Chinese military strength in early November, one claim generated headlines around the world. By 2030, it suggested, China would probably have 1,000 nuclear warheads — three times more than at present and enough to pose a substantial threat to the United States. As a Washington Post headline put it, typically enough: “China accelerates nuclear weapons expansion, seeks 1,000 warheads or more, Pentagon says.”

The media, however, largely ignored a far more significant claim in that same report: that China would be ready to conduct “intelligentized” warfare by 2027, enabling the Chinese to effectively resist any U.S. military response should it decide to invade the island of Taiwan, which they view as a renegade province. To the newsmakers of this moment, that might have seemed like far less of a headline-grabber than those future warheads, but the implications couldn’t be more consequential. Let me, then, offer you a basic translation of that finding: as the Pentagon sees things, be prepared for World War III to break out any time after January 1, 2027.

 

World War III

To appreciate just how terrifying that calculation is, four key questions have to be answered. What does the Pentagon mean by “intelligentized” warfare? Why would it be so significant if China achieved it? Why do U.S. military officials assume that a war over Taiwan could erupt the moment China masters such warfare? And why would such a war over Taiwan almost certainly turn into World War III, with every likelihood of going nuclear?

Why “Intelligentization” Matters
First, let’s consider “intelligentized” warfare. Pentagon officials routinely assert that China’s military, the People’s Liberation Army (PLA), already outmatches the U.S. in sheer numbers — more troops, more tanks, more planes, and especially more ships. Certainly, numbers do matter, but in the sort of high-paced “multi-domain” warfare American strategists envision for the future, “information dominance” — in the form of superior intelligence, communications, and battlefield coordination — is expected to matter more. Only when the PLA is “intelligentized” in this fashion, so the thinking goes, will it be able to engage U.S. forces with any confidence of success.

The naval aspect of the military balance between the two global powers is considered especially critical since any conflict between them is expected to erupt either in the South China Sea or in the waters around Taiwan. Washington analysts regularly emphasize the PLA’s superiority in sheer numbers of combat naval “platforms.” A Congressional Research Service (CRS) report released in October, for instance, noted that “China’s navy is, by far, the largest of any country in East Asia, and within the past few years it has surpassed the U.S. Navy in numbers of battle force ships, making China’s navy the numerically largest in the world.” Statements like these are routinely cited by Congressional hawks to secure more naval funding to close the “gap” in strength between the two countries.

World War III Begins

As it happens, though, a careful review of comparative naval analyses suggests that the U.S. still enjoys a commanding lead in critical areas like intelligence collection, target acquisition, anti-submarine warfare, and data-sharing among myriad combat platforms — sometimes called C4ISR (for command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance), or to use the Chinese terms, “informationized” and “intelligentized” warfare.

“Although China’s naval modernization effort has substantially improved China’s naval capabilities in recent years,” the CRS report noted, “China’s navy currently is assessed as having limitations or weaknesses in certain areas, including joint operations with other parts of China’s military, antisubmarine warfare, [and] long-range targeting.”

This means that, at the moment, the Chinese would be at a severe disadvantage in any significant encounter with American forces over Taiwan, where mastery of surveillance and targeting data would be essential for victory. Overcoming its C4ISR limitations has, therefore, become a major priority for the Chinese military, superseding the quest for superiority in numbers alone. According to the 2021 Pentagon report, this task was made a top-level priority in 2020 when the 5th Plenum of the 19th Central Committee established “a new milestone for modernization in 2027, to accelerate the integrated development of mechanization, informatization, and intelligentization of the PRC’s armed forces.” The achievement of such advances, the Pentagon added, “would provide Beijing with more credible military options in a Taiwan contingency.”

World War

Five years is not a lot of time in which to acquire mastery over such diverse and technically challenging military capabilities, but American analysts nonetheless believe that the PLA is well on its way to achieving that 2027 milestone. To overcome its “capability gap” in C4ISR, the Pentagon report noted, “the PLA is investing in joint reconnaissance, surveillance, command, control, and communications systems at the strategic, operational, and tactical levels.”

If, as predicted, China succeeds by 2027, it will then be able to engage the U.S. Navy in the seas around Taiwan and potentially defeat it. This, in turn, would allow Beijing to bully the Taiwanese without fear of intervention from Washington. As suggested by the Defense Department in its 2021 report, China’s leadership has “connected the PLA’s 2027 goals to developing the capabilities to counter the U.S. military in the Indo-Pacific region and compel Taiwan’s leadership to the negotiation table on Beijing’s terms.”

Beijing’s Taiwan Nightmare
Ever since Chiang Kai-shek and the remnants of his Chinese Nationalist Party (the Kuomintang, or KMT) fled to Taiwan after the Communist takeover of China in 1949, establishing the Republic of China (ROC) on that island, the Communist Party leadership in Beijing has sought Taiwan’s “reunification” with the mainland. Initially, Taiwanese leaders also dreamed of reconquering the mainland (with U.S. help, of course) and extending the ROC’s sway to all of China. But after Chiang died in 1975 and Taiwan transitioned to democratic rule, the KMT lost ground to the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), which eschews integration with the mainland, seeking instead to establish an independent Taiwanese state.

As talk of independence has gained favor there, Chinese officials have sought to coax the Taiwanese public into accepting peaceful reunification by promoting cross-Strait trade and tourism, among other measures. But the appeal of independence appears to be growing, especially among younger Taiwanese who have recoiled at Beijing’s clampdown on civil liberties and democratic rule in Hong Kong — a fate they fear awaits them, should Taiwan ever fall under mainland rule. This, in turn, has made the leadership in Beijing increasingly anxious, as any opportunity for the peaceful reunification of Taiwan appears to be slipping away, leaving military action as their only conceivable option.

President Xi Jinping expressed the conundrum Beijing faces well in his November 15th Zoom interchange with President Biden. “Achieving China’s complete reunification is an aspiration shared by all sons and daughters of the Chinese nation,” he stated. “We have patience and will strive for the prospect of peaceful reunification with utmost sincerity and efforts. That said, should the separatist forces for Taiwan independence provoke us, force our hands, or even cross the red line, we will be compelled to take resolute measures.”

In fact, what Xi calls the “separatist forces for Taiwan independence” have already gone far beyond provocation, affirming that Taiwan is indeed an independent state in all but name and that it will never voluntarily fall under mainland rule. This was evident, for example, in an October 10th address by Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen. The island, she declared, must “resist annexation or encroachment upon our sovereignty,” directly rejecting Beijing’s right to ever rule Taiwan.

But if China does use force — or is “compelled to take resolute measures,” as Xi put it — Beijing would likely have to contend with a U.S. counterstroke. Under existing legislation, notably the 1979 Taiwan Relations Act, the United States is under no obligation to aid Taiwan in such circumstances. However, that act also states that any use of force to alter Taiwan’s status will be viewed as a matter “of grave concern to the United States” — a stance known as “strategic ambiguity” as it neither commits this country to a military response, nor rules it out.

War-Around-The-World

Recently, however, prominent figures in Washington have begun calling for “strategic clarity” instead, all but guaranteeing a military response to any Chinese strike against the island. “The United States needs to be clear that we will not allow China to invade Taiwan and subjugate it,” Arkansas Republican Senator Tom Cotton typically said in a February 2021 address at the Ronald Reagan Institute. “I think the time has come to be clear: Replace strategic ambiguity with strategic clarity that the United States will come to the aid of Taiwan if China was to forcefully invade Taiwan or otherwise change the status quo across the [Taiwan] Strait.”

President Biden, too, seemed to embrace just such a position recently. When asked during an October CNN “town hall” whether the United States would protect Taiwan, he answered bluntly, “Yes, we have a commitment to do that.” The White House would later walk that statement back, insisting that Washington still adheres to the Taiwan Relations Act and a “One China” policy that identifies both Taiwan and mainland China as part of a single nation. Nonetheless, the administration has continued to conduct massive air and sea maneuvers in the waters off Taiwan, suggesting an inclination to defend Taiwan against any future invasion.

Clearly, then, Chinese policymakers must count on at least the possibility of U.S. military intervention should they order an invasion of Taiwan. And from their perspective, this means it won’t be safe to undertake such an invasion until the PLA has been fully intelligentized — a milestone it will achieve in 2027, if the Pentagon analysis is correct.

The Road to World War III


Nobody can be sure what the world will look like in 2027 or just how severe tensions over Taiwan could be by then. To take but one example, the DPP could lose to the KMT in that island’s 2024 presidential elections, reversing its march toward independence. Alternatively, Link Slot Gacor leadership could decide that a long-term accommodation with a quasi-independent Taiwan was the best possible recourse for maintaining its significant global economic status.

If, however, you stick with the Pentagon’s way of thinking, things look grim. You would have to assume that Taiwan will continue its present course and that Beijing’s urge to secure the island’s integration with the mainland will only intensify. Likewise, you would have to assume that the inclination of Washington policymakers to support an ever-more-independent Taiwan in the face of Chinese military action will only grow, as relations with Beijing continue to spiral downward.

From this circumscribed perspective, all that’s holding China’s leaders back from using force to take Taiwan right now is their concern over the PLA’s inferiority in intelligentized warfare. Once that’s overcome — in 2027, by the Pentagon’s reckoning — nothing will stand in the way of a Chinese invasion or possibly World War III.

Under such circumstances, it’s all too imaginable that Washington might move from a stance of “strategic stability” to one of “strategic clarity,” providing Taiwan’s leadership with an ironclad guarantee of military support in the face of any future attack. While this wouldn’t alter Chinese military planning significantly — PLA strategists undoubtedly assume that the U.S. would intervene, pledge or not — it could lead to complaisance in Washington, to a conviction that Beijing would automatically be deterred by such a guarantee (as Senator Cotton and many others seem to think). In the process, both sides could instead find themselves on the path to war.

World War III

And take my word for it, a conflict between them, however it began, could prove hard indeed to confine to the immediate neighborhood of Taiwan. In any such engagement, the principal job of Chinese forces would be to degrade American air and naval forces in the western Pacific. This could end up involving the widespread use of cruise and ballistic missiles to strike U.S. ships, as well as its bases in Japan, South Korea, and on various Pacific islands. Similarly, the principal job of the U.S. military would be to degrade Chinese air and naval forces, as well as its missile-launching facilities on the mainland. The result could be instant escalation, including relentless air and missile attacks, possibly even the use of the most advanced hypersonic missiles then in the U.S. and Chinese arsenals.

The result would undoubtedly be tens of thousands of combat casualties on both sides, as well as the loss of major assets like aircraft carriers and port facilities. Such a set of calamities might, of course, prompt one side or the other to cut its losses and pull back, if not surrender. The likelier possibility, however, would be a greater escalation in violence, including strikes ever farther afield with ever more powerful weaponry. Heavily populated cities could come under attack in China, Taiwan, Japan, or possibly elsewhere, producing hundreds of thousands of casualties.

Unless one side or the other surrendered — and which of these two proud nations is likely to do that? — such a conflict would continue to expand with each side calling for support from its allies. China would undoubtedly turn to Russia and Iran, the U.S. to Australia, India, and Japan. (Perhaps anticipating just such a future, the Biden administration only recently forged a new military alliance with Australia and the United Kingdom called AUKUS, while beefing up its “Quad” security arrangement with Australia, India, and Japan.)

In this way, however haltingly, a new “world war” could emerge and, worse yet, could easily escalate. Both the U.S. and China are already working hard to deploy hypersonic missiles and more conventional weaponry meant to target the other side’s vital defense nodes, including early-warning radars, missile batteries, and command-and-control centers, only increasing the risk that either side could misconstrue such a “conventional” attack as the prelude to a nuclear strike and, out of desperation, decide to strike first. Then we’re really talking about World War III.

Today, this must seem highly speculative to most of us, but to war planners in the Department of Defense and the Chinese Ministry of Defense, there’s nothing speculative about it. Pentagon officials are convinced that China is indeed determined to ensure Taiwan’s integration with the mainland, by force if necessary, and believe that there’s a good chance they’ll be called upon to help defend the island should that occur. As history suggests — think of the years leading up to World War I — planning of this sort can all too easily turn into a self-fulfilling prophecy.

So, however speculative all of this may seem, it should be taken seriously by any of us who dread the very idea of a major future outbreak of war, let alone a catastrophe on the scale of World Wars I and II, or with nuclear weapons on a scale as yet unknown. If such a fate is to be avoided, far more effort will have to go into solving the Taiwan dilemma and finding a peaceful resolution to the island’s status.

As a first step (though don’t count on it these days), Washington and Beijing could agree to curtail their military maneuvers in the waters and airspace around Taiwan and consult with each other, as well as Taiwan’s representatives, on tension-reducing measures of various sorts. Talks could also be held on steps to limit the deployment of especially destabilizing weapons of any kind, including hypersonic missiles.

If the Pentagon is right, however, the time for such action is already running out. After all, 2027, and the possible onset of World War III, is only five years away.

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